Trump Favorability Amid Cracks in the Economy

As the U.S. economy shows early signs of strain amid ongoing trade tensions and new federal legislation, public opinion of President Donald Trump remains sharply divided. Policies, such as the decision to mobilize National Guard troops to crack down on crime in Washington, D.C., come at a time when economic uncertainty and cultural debates continue to shape Americans’ views of the president. This Spotlight Analysis examines how Trump’s favorability varies across party, religious affiliation, and other key demographics and how these views have shifted over time. 

As of May 2025, 39% of Americans hold a favorable view of Donald Trump, compared with nearly six in ten who view him unfavorably (58%). Trump’s favorability has remained largely stable since September 2024 (41% favorable, 56% unfavorable) after hovering in the mid-30s from October 2018 through June 2024. Trump’s current favorability ratings remain well above his lowest level recorded by PRRI in September 2015, when just 30% of Americans held favorable views and 66% held unfavorable views.[1]

Views of Trump by Party Affiliation

The vast majority of Republicans (87%) hold favorable views of Trump, up from 83% in March 2025. PRRI data shows that Republicans have grown more likely to view Trump favorably since 2022. Among independents, 35% currently hold a favorable view of Trump. These favorable views have fluctuated over the past decade, ranging from a low of 28% to a high of 38% in 2017. In the lead up to the 2024 election, Trump’s favorability among independents declined in late 2023 but rose in September 2024 (37%) and has since remained stable. By contrast, Trump’s favorability among Democrats remains significantly lower at 6%, similar to March of this year (8%) and throughout 2024, and lower than most levels recorded prior to 2019.

Trump Favorability by Religious Affiliation

White Christian groups are more likely than Christians of color and non-Christians to view Trump favorably and have grown more likely to do so over the last year. Most white evangelical Protestants (76%) and white Catholics (55%), as well as about half of white mainline Protestants (48%), view Trump favorably. Since June 2024, Trump’s favorability rose by more than 10 points among white evangelical Protestants (from 62% to 76%) and from 48% to 55% among white Catholics. In comparison, roughly one in four Christians of color and religiously unaffiliated Americans view Trump favorably. Click through the chart below to explore Trump’s favorability among different groups of white Christians, Christians of color, and non-Christians.

Hispanic Catholics’ favorability towards Trump has increased consistently, from 12% in 2015 to a high of 37% in September 2024, but declined in the last year, averaging 25% in 2025. Hispanic Protestants, who are second only to white evangelical Protestants in their support of Trump, have routinely favored Trump more than their Catholic counterparts, and 41% currently favor the President. However, Trump’s favorability among Hispanic Protestants dropped from its all-time high of 51% in September 2024 to 32% in March 2025 before settling at its current level.[2]

Between October 2015 and May 2025, Donald Trump’s favorability among Black Protestants experienced several notable shifts, though beginning and ending at 15%. Favorable views of Trump fell sharply to 7% in September 2016 — a decline of 8 percentage points, before gradually increasing to 16% in both October 2018 and September 2024. Since then, Trump’s favorability among Black Protestants has remained relatively stable.

Trump’s favorability among religiously unaffiliated Americans has fluctuated over the past decade, remaining in the 20% range. Trump favorability among unaffiliateds was at its lowest in September 2016 (17%) and peaked in October 2017 (31%). Since 2023, favorability has ranged from 19% to 27%, holding steady at around 25% throughout 2024 and 2025.

Over the past decade, Trump’s favorability among non-Christian Americans has mirrored trends among the religiously unaffiliated, rising from 16% in 2015 to 30% in May 2025. While Trump’s favorability ratings hovered in the 20s from 2017 until September 2024, they have gone up over the last year.

Views of Trump by Race

Today, half of white Americans (49%) hold favorable views of Trump, compared with 28% of Hispanic Americans and 15% of Black Americans. While favorability has fluctuated across all groups, white Americans are the only group to show a constant increase since June 2023, rising from 36% to 49% in May 2025.

Trump’s favorability among Hispanic Americans was lowest in October 2015 (16%) before rising to 29% in October 2017 but then falling to 20% the next year. By 2020, 30% of Hispanic Americans had a favorable view of Trump, a share that rose steadily to an all-time high of 39% in September of 2024. Since then, Trump’s favorability among Hispanic Americans has dropped to 28%, a level not seen since 2021.

Except for 2015 (16%), Black Americans have consistently held the lowest favorability ratings for Donald Trump. PRRI surveys show that favorability hit its lowest levels in 2016 (7%) and 2020 (8%). The highest levels were recorded in September 2024 and March 2025, when 19% of Black Americans viewed him favorably. In May 2025, just 15% of Black Americans held favorable views of Trump.

Trump Favorability by Gender and Race

Men are more likely than women to hold favorable views of Trump (42% vs. 37%), a gap consistent with March 2025 levels (43% vs. 37%). Men’s favorability rose from 36% in October 2015 to 50% in October 2017, then declined to 33% in June 2023 before rising again to 42% in September 2024 and remaining steady through May 2025 (42%). For women, favorability steadily increased from 25% in October 2015 to 37% in May 2025.

This gender gap in Trump favorability is evident across all racial groups, except for Hispanic Americans. Half of white men view Trump favorably (51%), compared with 45% of white women, with both remaining stable throughout 2024. While Black men (22%) are also more likely than Black women (10%) to hold favorable views of Trump, there is little difference between Hispanic men (30%) and Hispanic women (27%). Both Hispanic men and women are less likely to favor Trump today compared with September 2024 levels (38% vs. 40%).

Views of Trump by Age

Trump’s favorability ratings remain lower among younger Americans than older Americans and have remained stable over time. Among Americans ages 18-29, support rose sharply from 19% in 2015 to 36% in October 2017 before falling to 21% in 2018. Favorability rose again to 35% in both September 2024 and March 2025, before reaching its current level (30%). For Americans ages 30-49, favorability rose from 31% in 2015 to 38% in 2017, then fell to 31% in 2018 and remained in the low 30s until increasing to 38% in May 2025.

For older Americans, Trump’s favorability is higher. Among Americans ages 50-64, Trump’s favorability rose from 38% in 2015 to 45% in 2017, fell to 33% in June 2023, and then rebounded to 45% in May 2025. Among senior Americans 65 and over, Trump’s favorability increased from 33% in 2015 to 49% in 2017, the highest level recorded for any age group, before fluctuating in the 30s and 40s in subsequent years, standing at 44% in May 2025.


[1] To better assess Trump’s favorability ahead of, and during, his second term, we examine data collected at multiple points in 2023, 2024, and 2025.

[2] The number of cases for Hispanic Protestants for 2015-2017, 2021-2022, and Aug. 2023 are too small to report.

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